Erik Morales vs Jack Johnson
Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability
PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇲🇽
Erik Morales
61-9-0VS
Jack Johnson
94-11-1041%10% Draw49%
Morales
Johnson
Predicted outcome: Decision
Our stats-based model gives Jack Johnson a 49% edge over Erik Morales in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.
Factor Analysis
Win RateWeight: ★★★
Erik Morales wins 87% vs Jack Johnson at 82%
Morales
10.0
Johnson
9.8
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★
0% stoppage rate vs 0%
Morales
0.0
Johnson
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★
Height 173cm / 184cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm
Morales
2.8
Johnson
7.2
DurabilityWeight: ★★
87% survival rate vs 90%
Morales
9.6
Johnson
9.9
ExperienceWeight: ★★
70 bouts vs 115 bouts
Morales
6.9
Johnson
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★
50 years old vs 148 years old
Morales
3.0
Johnson
3.0
Ask about this fight
AI · fact-anchoredGrounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.