Eddie Alvarez vs Tyron Woodley

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0

Tyron Woodley

19-7-1

48%10% Draw42%

Alvarez

Woodley

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 48% edge over Tyron Woodley in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Eddie Alvarez wins 79% vs Tyron Woodley at 70%

Alvarez

9.5

Woodley

8.4

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

57% stoppage rate vs 37%

Alvarez

6.8

Woodley

4.4

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 179cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Alvarez

4.2

Woodley

5.8

DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 74%

Alvarez

8.7

Woodley

8.1

ExperienceWeight: ★★

38 bouts vs 27 bouts

Alvarez

10.0

Woodley

7.7

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

43 years old vs 44 years old

Alvarez

3.0

Woodley

3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.