Eddie Alvarez vs Terence Crawford — stats-based predictionEddie Alvarez vs Terence Crawford — stats-based prediction

Eddie Alvarez vs Terence Crawford

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0
VS

Terence Crawford

42-0-0
48%10% Draw42%
Alvarez
Crawford
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 48% edge over Terence Crawford in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Eddie Alvarez wins 79% vs Terence Crawford at 100%

Alvarez
9.5
Crawford
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

57% stoppage rate vs 0%

Alvarez
6.8
Crawford
0.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 100%

Alvarez
8.7
Crawford
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 173cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Alvarez
5.4
Crawford
4.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 39 years old

Alvarez
3.0
Crawford
4.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

38 bouts vs 42 bouts

Alvarez
9.2
Crawford
10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.