Eddie Alvarez vs Floyd Mayweather — stats-based predictionEddie Alvarez vs Floyd Mayweather — stats-based prediction

Eddie Alvarez vs Floyd Mayweather

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0
VS

Floyd Mayweather

50-0-0
49%10% Draw41%
Alvarez
Mayweather
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 49% edge over Floyd Mayweather in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Eddie Alvarez wins 79% vs Floyd Mayweather at 100%

Alvarez
9.5
Mayweather
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

57% stoppage rate vs 0%

Alvarez
6.8
Mayweather
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 170cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Alvarez
6.0
Mayweather
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 100%

Alvarez
8.7
Mayweather
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

38 bouts vs 50 bouts

Alvarez
8.1
Mayweather
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 49 years old

Alvarez
3.0
Mayweather
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.