Eddie Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol — stats-based predictionEddie Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol — stats-based prediction

Eddie Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0
VS

Dmitry Bivol

25-1-0
46%10% Draw44%
Alvarez
Bivol
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 46% edge over Dmitry Bivol in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Eddie Alvarez wins 79% vs Dmitry Bivol at 96%

Alvarez
9.5
Bivol
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

57% stoppage rate vs 0%

Alvarez
6.8
Bivol
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Alvarez
3.4
Bivol
6.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 96%

Alvarez
8.7
Bivol
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 35 years old

Alvarez
3.0
Bivol
7.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

38 bouts vs 26 bouts

Alvarez
10.0
Bivol
7.5

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.