Eddie Alvarez vs Arman Tsarukyan — stats-based predictionEddie Alvarez vs Arman Tsarukyan — stats-based prediction

Eddie Alvarez vs Arman Tsarukyan

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0
VS

Arman Tsarukyan

23-3-0
46%10% Draw44%
Alvarez
Tsarukyan
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 46% edge over Arman Tsarukyan in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Eddie Alvarez wins 79% vs Arman Tsarukyan at 88%

Alvarez
9.5
Tsarukyan
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

57% stoppage rate vs 39%

Alvarez
6.8
Tsarukyan
4.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 170cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Alvarez
6.0
Tsarukyan
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 88%

Alvarez
8.7
Tsarukyan
9.7
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

43 years old vs 30 years old

Alvarez
3.0
Tsarukyan
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

38 bouts vs 26 bouts

Alvarez
10.0
Tsarukyan
7.5

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.