Diego Lopes vs Jay Rodriguez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇧🇷

Diego Lopes

27-8-0

Jay Rodriguez

20-5-0

45%10% Draw45%

Lopes

Rodriguez

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jay Rodriguez a 45% edge over Diego Lopes in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Diego Lopes wins 77% vs Jay Rodriguez at 80%

Lopes

9.3

Rodriguez

9.6

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

41% stoppage rate vs 40%

Lopes

4.9

Rodriguez

4.8

DurabilityWeight: ★★

77% survival rate vs 80%

Lopes

8.5

Rodriguez

8.8

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 180cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Lopes

5.0

Rodriguez

5.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

35 bouts vs 25 bouts

Lopes

10.0

Rodriguez

7.7

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 34 years old

Lopes

8.0

Rodriguez

9.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.