Deontay Wilder vs Tyson Fury — stats-based predictionDeontay Wilder vs Tyson Fury — stats-based prediction

Deontay Wilder vs Tyson Fury

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Deontay Wilder

50-4-1
VS
🇬🇧

Tyson Fury

38-2-1
44%10% Draw46%
Wilder
Fury
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Tyson Fury a 46% edge over Deontay Wilder in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Deontay Wilder wins 91% vs Tyson Fury at 93%

Wilder
10.0
Fury
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Wilder
0.0
Fury
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 202cm / 206cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Wilder
4.2
Fury
5.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 95%

Wilder
10.0
Fury
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

41 years old vs 38 years old

Wilder
3.0
Fury
5.3
ExperienceWeight: ★★

55 bouts vs 41 bouts

Wilder
10.0
Fury
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.