BREAKINGDeontay Wilder vs Oleksandr Usyk — stats-based predictionBREAKINGDeontay Wilder vs Oleksandr Usyk — stats-based prediction

Deontay Wilder vs Oleksandr Usyk

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Deontay Wilder

50-4-1
VS
🇺🇦

Oleksandr Usyk

24-0-0
49%10% Draw41%
Wilder
Usyk
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Deontay Wilder a 49% edge over Oleksandr Usyk in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Deontay Wilder wins 91% vs Oleksandr Usyk at 100%

Wilder
10.0
Usyk
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Wilder
0.0
Usyk
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 202cm / 191cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Wilder
7.0
Usyk
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 100%

Wilder
10.0
Usyk
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

55 bouts vs 24 bouts

Wilder
10.0
Usyk
5.5
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

40 years old vs 39 years old

Wilder
3.0
Usyk
3.7
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.