Deontay Wilder vs Jake Paul

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Deontay Wilder

50-4-1

Jake Paul

14-2-0

48%10% Draw42%

Wilder

Paul

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Deontay Wilder a 48% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Deontay Wilder wins 91% vs Jake Paul at 88%

Wilder

10.0

Paul

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Wilder

0.0

Paul

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 202cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Wilder

7.0

Paul

3.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 88%

Wilder

10.0

Paul

9.6

ExperienceWeight: ★★

55 bouts vs 16 bouts

Wilder

10.0

Paul

4.3

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

41 years old vs 29 years old

Wilder

3.0

Paul

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.