BREAKINGDeontay Wilder vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based predictionBREAKINGDeontay Wilder vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based prediction

Deontay Wilder vs Anthony Joshua

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Deontay Wilder

50-4-1
VS
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
46%10% Draw44%
Wilder
Joshua
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Deontay Wilder a 46% edge over Anthony Joshua in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Deontay Wilder wins 91% vs Anthony Joshua at 89%

Wilder
10.0
Joshua
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Wilder
0.0
Joshua
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 202cm / 198cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Wilder
5.8
Joshua
4.2
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 89%

Wilder
10.0
Joshua
9.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

40 years old vs 37 years old

Wilder
3.0
Joshua
6.5
ExperienceWeight: ★★

55 bouts vs 37 bouts

Wilder
10.0
Joshua
7.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.