Conor McGregor vs Rhys Edwards

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0

Rhys Edwards

31-3-3

49%10% Draw41%

McGregor

Edwards

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 49% edge over Rhys Edwards in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Rhys Edwards at 84%

McGregor

9.4

Edwards

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 0%

McGregor

10.0

Edwards

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / 170cm, Reach 188cm / ?cm

McGregor

5.8

Edwards

4.2

DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 92%

McGregor

8.6

Edwards

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 30 years old

McGregor

4.7

Edwards

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 37 bouts

McGregor

8.1

Edwards

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.