BREAKINGConor McGregor vs Oleksandr Usyk — stats-based predictionBREAKINGConor McGregor vs Oleksandr Usyk — stats-based prediction

Conor McGregor vs Oleksandr Usyk

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0
VS
🇺🇦

Oleksandr Usyk

24-0-0
48%10% Draw42%
McGregor
Usyk
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 48% edge over Oleksandr Usyk in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Oleksandr Usyk at 100%

McGregor
9.4
Usyk
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 0%

McGregor
10.0
Usyk
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / 191cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

McGregor
1.6
Usyk
8.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 100%

McGregor
8.6
Usyk
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 39 years old

McGregor
5.2
Usyk
3.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 24 bouts

McGregor
10.0
Usyk
8.9
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.