Conor McGregor vs Maxi Hughes

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0

Maxi Hughes

41-10-2

49%10% Draw41%

McGregor

Hughes

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 49% edge over Maxi Hughes in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Maxi Hughes at 77%

McGregor

9.4

Hughes

9.3

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 0%

McGregor

10.0

Hughes

0.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 81%

McGregor

8.6

Hughes

8.9

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / ?cm, Reach 188cm / ?cm

McGregor

5.0

Hughes

5.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 53 bouts

McGregor

6.2

Hughes

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 30 years old

McGregor

4.7

Hughes

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.