BREAKINGConor McGregor vs Manny Pacquiao — stats-based predictionBREAKINGConor McGregor vs Manny Pacquiao — stats-based prediction

Conor McGregor vs Manny Pacquiao

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0
VS
🇵🇭

Manny Pacquiao

73-8-3
50%10% Draw40%
McGregor
Pacquiao
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 50% edge over Manny Pacquiao in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Manny Pacquiao at 87%

McGregor
9.4
Pacquiao
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 0%

McGregor
10.0
Pacquiao
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / 166cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

McGregor
6.6
Pacquiao
3.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 90%

McGregor
8.6
Pacquiao
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 84 bouts

McGregor
4.7
Pacquiao
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 47 years old

McGregor
5.2
Pacquiao
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.