BREAKINGConor McGregor vs Jorge Masvidal — stats-based predictionBREAKINGConor McGregor vs Jorge Masvidal — stats-based prediction

Conor McGregor vs Jorge Masvidal

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0
VS

Jorge Masvidal

35-17-0
48%10% Draw42%
McGregor
Masvidal
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 48% edge over Jorge Masvidal in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Jorge Masvidal at 67%

McGregor
9.4
Masvidal
8.1
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 46%

McGregor
10.0
Masvidal
5.5
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / 180cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

McGregor
3.8
Masvidal
6.2
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 67%

McGregor
8.6
Masvidal
7.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 52 bouts

McGregor
6.3
Masvidal
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 41 years old

McGregor
5.2
Masvidal
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.