Conor McGregor vs Jake Paul

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0

Jake Paul

14-2-0

49%10% Draw41%

McGregor

Paul

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 49% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Jake Paul at 88%

McGregor

9.4

Paul

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 0%

McGregor

10.0

Paul

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

McGregor

3.2

Paul

6.8

DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 88%

McGregor

8.6

Paul

9.6

ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 16 bouts

McGregor

10.0

Paul

6.6

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 29 years old

McGregor

5.2

Paul

8.0

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.