BREAKINGConor McGregor vs Floyd Mayweather — stats-based predictionBREAKINGConor McGregor vs Floyd Mayweather — stats-based prediction

Conor McGregor vs Floyd Mayweather

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0
VS

Floyd Mayweather

50-0-0
50%10% Draw40%
McGregor
Mayweather
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 50% edge over Floyd Mayweather in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Floyd Mayweather at 100%

McGregor
9.4
Mayweather
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 0%

McGregor
10.0
Mayweather
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / 170cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

McGregor
5.8
Mayweather
4.2
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 100%

McGregor
8.6
Mayweather
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 50 bouts

McGregor
6.5
Mayweather
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 49 years old

McGregor
5.2
Mayweather
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.