Conor McGregor vs Alex Volkanovski

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0

Alex Volkanovski

28-4-0

47%10% Draw43%

McGregor

Volkanovski

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 47% edge over Alex Volkanovski in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Alex Volkanovski at 88%

McGregor

9.4

Volkanovski

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 46%

McGregor

10.0

Volkanovski

5.6

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / ?cm, Reach 188cm / 5cm

McGregor

7.0

Volkanovski

3.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 88%

McGregor

8.6

Volkanovski

9.6

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 30 years old

McGregor

4.9

Volkanovski

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 32 bouts

McGregor

9.0

Volkanovski

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.