Claressa Shields vs Terence Crawford — stats-based predictionClaressa Shields vs Terence Crawford — stats-based prediction

Claressa Shields vs Terence Crawford

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Claressa Shields

2-1-0
VS

Terence Crawford

42-0-0
46%10% Draw44%
Shields
Crawford
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Claressa Shields a 46% edge over Terence Crawford in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Claressa Shields wins 67% vs Terence Crawford at 100%

Shields
8.0
Crawford
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

50% stoppage rate vs 0%

Shields
6.0
Crawford
0.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

67% survival rate vs 100%

Shields
7.3
Crawford
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 173cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Shields
6.0
Crawford
4.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

3 bouts vs 42 bouts

Shields
2.6
Crawford
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

31 years old vs 39 years old

Shields
8.0
Crawford
4.4

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.