Claressa Shields vs Jake Paul — stats-based predictionClaressa Shields vs Jake Paul — stats-based prediction

Claressa Shields vs Jake Paul

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Claressa Shields

2-1-0
VS

Jake Paul

14-2-0
42%10% Draw48%
Shields
Paul
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jake Paul a 48% edge over Claressa Shields in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Claressa Shields wins 67% vs Jake Paul at 88%

Shields
8.0
Paul
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

50% stoppage rate vs 0%

Shields
6.0
Paul
0.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

67% survival rate vs 88%

Shields
7.3
Paul
9.6
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Shields
4.0
Paul
6.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

3 bouts vs 16 bouts

Shields
3.5
Paul
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

31 years old vs 29 years old

Shields
8.0
Paul
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.