Carlos Ulberg vs Brian Ortega

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇳🇿

Carlos Ulberg

14-1-0

Brian Ortega

16-5-0

49%10% Draw41%

Ulberg

Ortega

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Carlos Ulberg a 49% edge over Brian Ortega in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Carlos Ulberg wins 93% vs Brian Ortega at 76%

Ulberg

10.0

Ortega

9.1

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

64% stoppage rate vs 19%

Ulberg

7.7

Ortega

2.3

DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 76%

Ulberg

10.0

Ortega

8.4

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Ulberg

5.0

Ortega

5.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

15 bouts vs 21 bouts

Ulberg

7.7

Ortega

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

36 years old vs 36 years old

Ulberg

7.0

Ortega

7.3

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.