BREAKINGCanelo Álvarez vs Lázaro Álvarez — stats-based predictionBREAKINGCanelo Álvarez vs Lázaro Álvarez — stats-based prediction

Canelo Álvarez vs Lázaro Álvarez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇲🇽

Canelo Álvarez

68-3-2
VS
🇨🇺

Lázaro Álvarez

6-0-0
49%10% Draw41%
Álvarez
Álvarez
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Canelo Álvarez a 49% edge over Lázaro Álvarez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Canelo Álvarez wins 93% vs Lázaro Álvarez at 100%

Álvarez
10.0
Álvarez
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Álvarez
0.0
Álvarez
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 173cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Álvarez
5.4
Álvarez
4.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

96% survival rate vs 100%

Álvarez
10.0
Álvarez
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

73 bouts vs 6 bouts

Álvarez
10.0
Álvarez
2.7
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

36 years old vs 35 years old

Álvarez
7.2
Álvarez
7.8
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.