Badou Jack vs Norair Mikaelian — stats-based predictionBadou Jack vs Norair Mikaelian — stats-based prediction

Badou Jack vs Norair Mikaelian

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇸🇪

Badou Jack

35-3-3
VS

Norair Mikaelian

31-3-0
44%10% Draw46%
Jack
Mikaelian
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Norair Mikaelian a 46% edge over Badou Jack in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Badou Jack wins 85% vs Norair Mikaelian at 91%

Jack
10.0
Mikaelian
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Jack
0.0
Mikaelian
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 185cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / 191cm

Jack
5.0
Mikaelian
5.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 91%

Jack
10.0
Mikaelian
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

43 years old vs 36 years old

Jack
3.0
Mikaelian
6.9
ExperienceWeight: ★★

41 bouts vs 34 bouts

Jack
10.0
Mikaelian
8.6

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.