Arman Tsarukyan vs Sergio Pettis
Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability
PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
Arman Tsarukyan
23-3-0VS
Sergio Pettis
25-7-047%10% Draw43%
Tsarukyan
Pettis
Predicted outcome: Decision
Our stats-based model gives Arman Tsarukyan a 47% edge over Sergio Pettis in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.
Factor Analysis
Win RateWeight: ★★★
Arman Tsarukyan wins 88% vs Sergio Pettis at 78%
Tsarukyan
10.0
Pettis
9.4
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★
39% stoppage rate vs 20%
Tsarukyan
4.7
Pettis
2.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★
88% survival rate vs 78%
Tsarukyan
9.7
Pettis
8.6
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★
Height 170cm / 168cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm
Tsarukyan
5.4
Pettis
4.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★
30 years old vs 33 years old
Tsarukyan
8.0
Pettis
9.8
ExperienceWeight: ★★
26 bouts vs 32 bouts
Tsarukyan
8.5
Pettis
10.0
Ask about this fight
AI · fact-anchoredGrounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.