Arman Tsarukyan vs Israel Adesanya

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Arman Tsarukyan

23-3-0

🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0

41%10% Draw49%

Tsarukyan

Adesanya

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 49% edge over Arman Tsarukyan in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Arman Tsarukyan wins 88% vs Israel Adesanya at 80%

Tsarukyan

10.0

Adesanya

9.6

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

39% stoppage rate vs 67%

Tsarukyan

4.7

Adesanya

8.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Tsarukyan

1.0

Adesanya

9.6

DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 80%

Tsarukyan

9.7

Adesanya

8.8

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 37 years old

Tsarukyan

8.0

Adesanya

6.2

ExperienceWeight: ★★

26 bouts vs 30 bouts

Tsarukyan

8.9

Adesanya

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.