Arman Tsarukyan vs Gustavo Oliveira — stats-based predictionArman Tsarukyan vs Gustavo Oliveira — stats-based prediction

Arman Tsarukyan vs Gustavo Oliveira

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Arman Tsarukyan

23-3-0
VS

Gustavo Oliveira

37-11-0
45%10% Draw45%
Tsarukyan
Oliveira
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Gustavo Oliveira a 45% edge over Arman Tsarukyan in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Arman Tsarukyan wins 88% vs Gustavo Oliveira at 77%

Tsarukyan
10.0
Oliveira
9.3
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

39% stoppage rate vs 27%

Tsarukyan
4.7
Oliveira
3.2
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / 188cm

Tsarukyan
3.4
Oliveira
6.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 77%

Tsarukyan
9.7
Oliveira
8.5
ExperienceWeight: ★★

26 bouts vs 48 bouts

Tsarukyan
6.3
Oliveira
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 37 years old

Tsarukyan
8.0
Oliveira
6.3

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.