Antonio Tarver vs Joseph Benavidez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Antonio Tarver

39-6-1

Joseph Benavidez

28-8-0

47%10% Draw43%

Tarver

Benavidez

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Antonio Tarver a 47% edge over Joseph Benavidez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Antonio Tarver wins 85% vs Joseph Benavidez at 78%

Tarver

10.0

Benavidez

9.3

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 29%

Tarver

0.0

Benavidez

3.4

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 163cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Tarver

7.0

Benavidez

3.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

87% survival rate vs 78%

Tarver

9.6

Benavidez

8.6

ExperienceWeight: ★★

46 bouts vs 36 bouts

Tarver

10.0

Benavidez

8.3

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

58 years old vs 42 years old

Tarver

3.0

Benavidez

3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.