Antonio Tarver vs Eddie Alvarez — stats-based predictionAntonio Tarver vs Eddie Alvarez — stats-based prediction

Antonio Tarver vs Eddie Alvarez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Antonio Tarver

39-6-1
VS

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0
44%10% Draw46%
Tarver
Alvarez
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 46% edge over Antonio Tarver in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Antonio Tarver wins 85% vs Eddie Alvarez at 79%

Tarver
10.0
Alvarez
9.5
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 57%

Tarver
0.0
Alvarez
6.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Tarver
7.0
Alvarez
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

87% survival rate vs 79%

Tarver
9.6
Alvarez
8.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

46 bouts vs 38 bouts

Tarver
10.0
Alvarez
8.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

58 years old vs 43 years old

Tarver
3.0
Alvarez
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.