BREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Oleksandr Usyk — stats-based predictionBREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Oleksandr Usyk — stats-based prediction

Anthony Joshua vs Oleksandr Usyk

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
VS
🇺🇦

Oleksandr Usyk

24-0-0
49%10% Draw41%
Joshua
Usyk
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Anthony Joshua a 49% edge over Oleksandr Usyk in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Anthony Joshua wins 89% vs Oleksandr Usyk at 100%

Joshua
10.0
Usyk
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Joshua
0.0
Usyk
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 198cm / 191cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Joshua
6.4
Usyk
3.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

89% survival rate vs 100%

Joshua
9.8
Usyk
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

37 bouts vs 24 bouts

Joshua
10.0
Usyk
7.2
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 39 years old

Joshua
6.5
Usyk
3.7
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.