BREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Jake Paul — stats-based predictionBREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Jake Paul — stats-based prediction

Anthony Joshua vs Jake Paul

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
VS

Jake Paul

14-2-0
49%10% Draw41%
Joshua
Paul
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Anthony Joshua a 49% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Anthony Joshua wins 89% vs Jake Paul at 88%

Joshua
10.0
Paul
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Joshua
0.0
Paul
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 198cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Joshua
7.0
Paul
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

89% survival rate vs 88%

Joshua
9.8
Paul
9.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

37 bouts vs 16 bouts

Joshua
10.0
Paul
5.5
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 29 years old

Joshua
6.5
Paul
8.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.