Anthony Joshua vs Arslanbek Makhmudov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0

Arslanbek Makhmudov

24-3-0

46%10% Draw44%

Joshua

Makhmudov

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Anthony Joshua a 46% edge over Arslanbek Makhmudov in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Anthony Joshua wins 89% vs Arslanbek Makhmudov at 89%

Joshua

10.0

Makhmudov

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Joshua

0.0

Makhmudov

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 198cm / 197cm, Reach ?cm / 194cm

Joshua

5.2

Makhmudov

4.8

DurabilityWeight: ★★

89% survival rate vs 89%

Joshua

9.8

Makhmudov

9.8

ExperienceWeight: ★★

37 bouts vs 27 bouts

Joshua

10.0

Makhmudov

7.8

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 30 years old

Joshua

6.4

Makhmudov

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.