Alycia Baumgardner vs Jake Paul — stats-based predictionAlycia Baumgardner vs Jake Paul — stats-based prediction

Alycia Baumgardner vs Jake Paul

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Alycia Baumgardner

20-1-0
VS

Jake Paul

14-2-0
43%10% Draw47%
Baumgardner
Paul
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jake Paul a 47% edge over Alycia Baumgardner in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Alycia Baumgardner wins 95% vs Jake Paul at 88%

Baumgardner
10.0
Paul
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Baumgardner
0.0
Paul
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 168cm / 183cm, Reach 168cm / ?cm

Baumgardner
2.0
Paul
8.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

95% survival rate vs 88%

Baumgardner
10.0
Paul
9.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

21 bouts vs 16 bouts

Baumgardner
10.0
Paul
8.1
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 29 years old

Baumgardner
8.0
Paul
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.