Aljamain Sterling vs Ilia Evloev

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Aljamain Sterling

24-5-0

Ilia Evloev

20-0-0

44%10% Draw46%

Sterling

Evloev

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Ilia Evloev a 46% edge over Aljamain Sterling in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Aljamain Sterling wins 83% vs Ilia Evloev at 100%

Sterling

9.9

Evloev

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

13% stoppage rate vs 15%

Sterling

1.5

Evloev

1.8

DurabilityWeight: ★★

83% survival rate vs 100%

Sterling

9.1

Evloev

10.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 170cm, Reach ?cm / 5cm

Sterling

5.0

Evloev

5.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

29 bouts vs 20 bouts

Sterling

10.0

Evloev

7.5

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 33 years old

Sterling

5.9

Evloev

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.