Aljamain Sterling vs Alex Volkanovski

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Aljamain Sterling

24-5-0

Alex Volkanovski

28-4-0

41%10% Draw49%

Sterling

Volkanovski

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Alex Volkanovski a 49% edge over Aljamain Sterling in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Aljamain Sterling wins 83% vs Alex Volkanovski at 88%

Sterling

9.9

Volkanovski

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

13% stoppage rate vs 46%

Sterling

1.5

Volkanovski

5.6

DurabilityWeight: ★★

83% survival rate vs 88%

Sterling

9.1

Volkanovski

9.6

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / 5cm

Sterling

5.0

Volkanovski

5.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 30 years old

Sterling

6.0

Volkanovski

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

29 bouts vs 32 bouts

Sterling

9.3

Volkanovski

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.