Alex Volkanovski vs Ilia Evloev — stats-based predictionAlex Volkanovski vs Ilia Evloev — stats-based prediction

Alex Volkanovski vs Ilia Evloev

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Alex Volkanovski

28-4-0
VS

Ilia Evloev

20-0-0
49%10% Draw41%
Volkanovski
Evloev
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Alex Volkanovski a 49% edge over Ilia Evloev in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Alex Volkanovski wins 88% vs Ilia Evloev at 100%

Volkanovski
10.0
Evloev
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 15%

Volkanovski
5.6
Evloev
1.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 100%

Volkanovski
9.6
Evloev
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / 170cm, Reach 5cm / 5cm

Volkanovski
5.0
Evloev
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

32 bouts vs 20 bouts

Volkanovski
10.0
Evloev
7.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 33 years old

Volkanovski
8.0
Evloev
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.