Alex Volkanovski vs Gustavo Oliveira

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Alex Volkanovski

28-4-0

Gustavo Oliveira

37-11-0

43%10% Draw47%

Volkanovski

Oliveira

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Gustavo Oliveira a 47% edge over Alex Volkanovski in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Alex Volkanovski wins 88% vs Gustavo Oliveira at 77%

Volkanovski

10.0

Oliveira

9.3

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 27%

Volkanovski

5.6

Oliveira

3.2

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / 178cm, Reach 5cm / 188cm

Volkanovski

1.0

Oliveira

10.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 77%

Volkanovski

9.6

Oliveira

8.5

ExperienceWeight: ★★

32 bouts vs 48 bouts

Volkanovski

7.3

Oliveira

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 37 years old

Volkanovski

8.0

Oliveira

6.2

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.