Alex Volkanovski vs Aljamain Sterling

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Alex Volkanovski

28-4-0

Aljamain Sterling

24-5-0

49%10% Draw41%

Volkanovski

Sterling

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Alex Volkanovski a 49% edge over Aljamain Sterling in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Alex Volkanovski wins 88% vs Aljamain Sterling at 83%

Volkanovski

10.0

Sterling

9.9

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 13%

Volkanovski

5.6

Sterling

1.5

DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 83%

Volkanovski

9.6

Sterling

9.1

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / 170cm, Reach 5cm / ?cm

Volkanovski

5.0

Sterling

5.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 37 years old

Volkanovski

8.0

Sterling

5.9

ExperienceWeight: ★★

32 bouts vs 29 bouts

Volkanovski

10.0

Sterling

9.3

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.