Alex Oliveira vs Natan Schulte

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

🇧🇷

Alex Oliveira

25-18-1

Natan Schulte

26-6-1

45%10% Draw45%

Oliveira

Schulte

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Natan Schulte a 45% edge over Alex Oliveira in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Alex Oliveira wins 57% vs Natan Schulte at 79%

Oliveira

6.8

Schulte

9.5

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

60% stoppage rate vs 15%

Oliveira

7.2

Schulte

1.8

DurabilityWeight: ★★

59% survival rate vs 82%

Oliveira

6.5

Schulte

9.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / 175cm

Oliveira

5.4

Schulte

4.6

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 35 years old

Oliveira

4.8

Schulte

8.5

ExperienceWeight: ★★

44 bouts vs 33 bouts

Oliveira

10.0

Schulte

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.