McMillen vs Rahiki Over 1.5 Rounds Locks Noche UFC 4

MMA Mania has locked in the Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki featherweight bout at Noche UFC 4 to last beyond the first round, despite a heated fight week that included a confrontation at the fighter hotel.

The outlet's betting pick is McMillen-Rahiki Over 1.5 Rounds at minus-160 for Saturday's event at Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona. The recommendation stems from both fighters' proven durability rather than their finishing power.

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Why McMillen's Volume Won't Guarantee Early Finish

McMillen landed 252 significant strikes against Alberto Montes in July but still needed until the third round to secure the stoppage, per MMA Mania's analysis. While the featherweight has multiple first-round finishes on his record, those came against lower-level competition before he reached the UFC.

Rahiki survived brutal punishment on the Contender Series, getting dropped multiple times before rallying to win. He owns three first-round finishes but also has four second-round stoppages, showing his offense stays live after five minutes. The Moroccan's toughness in that war makes him exactly the kind of opponent who can absorb early damage and push into round two.

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MMA Mania acknowledged the risk in its breakdown: the genuine animosity between the two could produce an immediate firefight when the cage door closes. McMillen has legitimate finishing power and Rahiki can start fast himself. The outlet still expects a finish before 15 minutes but believes both men's durability gets the fight past the seven-and-a-half-minute mark.

Noche UFC 4 airs Saturday with Jean Silva vs Jose Delgado headlining the featherweight main event.

Reported via:

• MMA Mania — Here’s MMAmania.com’s Noche UFC 4 betting odds ‘Weekend Lock’ … what’s yours?