Valentina Shevchenko vs Alexa Grasso

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Valentina Shevchenko

26-4-1

🇲🇽

Alexa Grasso

17-5-1

46%10% Draw44%

Shevchenko

Grasso

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Valentina Shevchenko a 46% edge over Alexa Grasso in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Valentina Shevchenko wins 84% vs Alexa Grasso at 74%

Shevchenko

10.0

Grasso

8.9

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

31% stoppage rate vs 29%

Shevchenko

3.7

Grasso

3.5

DurabilityWeight: ★★

87% survival rate vs 78%

Shevchenko

9.6

Grasso

8.6

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 165cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Shevchenko

5.0

Grasso

5.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 33 years old

Shevchenko

4.9

Grasso

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

31 bouts vs 23 bouts

Shevchenko

10.0

Grasso

7.9

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.