Ufc Pereira vs Tom Aspinall

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ufc Pereira

13-3-0

🇬🇧

Tom Aspinall

15-2-0

42%10% Draw48%

Pereira

Aspinall

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Tom Aspinall a 48% edge over Ufc Pereira in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ufc Pereira wins 81% vs Tom Aspinall at 88%

Pereira

9.8

Aspinall

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

85% stoppage rate vs 80%

Pereira

10.0

Aspinall

9.6

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 196cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Pereira

4.4

Aspinall

5.6

DurabilityWeight: ★★

81% survival rate vs 88%

Pereira

8.9

Aspinall

9.7

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 33 years old

Pereira

4.1

Aspinall

9.9

ExperienceWeight: ★★

16 bouts vs 17 bouts

Pereira

9.5

Aspinall

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.