Ufc Pereira vs Shara Magomedov — stats-based predictionUfc Pereira vs Shara Magomedov — stats-based prediction

Ufc Pereira vs Shara Magomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Ufc Pereira

13-3-0
VS

Shara Magomedov

16-1-0
44%10% Draw46%
Pereira
Magomedov
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Shara Magomedov a 46% edge over Ufc Pereira in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ufc Pereira wins 81% vs Shara Magomedov at 94%

Pereira
9.8
Magomedov
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

85% stoppage rate vs 75%

Pereira
10.0
Magomedov
9.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / 185cm

Pereira
6.0
Magomedov
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

81% survival rate vs 94%

Pereira
8.9
Magomedov
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 32 years old

Pereira
4.1
Magomedov
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

16 bouts vs 17 bouts

Pereira
9.5
Magomedov
10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.