Ufc Pereira vs Israel Adesanya — stats-based predictionUfc Pereira vs Israel Adesanya — stats-based prediction

Ufc Pereira vs Israel Adesanya

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ufc Pereira

13-3-0
VS
🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0
44%10% Draw46%
Pereira
Adesanya
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 46% edge over Ufc Pereira in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ufc Pereira wins 81% vs Israel Adesanya at 80%

Pereira
9.8
Adesanya
9.6
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

85% stoppage rate vs 67%

Pereira
10.0
Adesanya
8.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

81% survival rate vs 80%

Pereira
8.9
Adesanya
8.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Pereira
5.0
Adesanya
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

16 bouts vs 30 bouts

Pereira
6.3
Adesanya
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 37 years old

Pereira
4.1
Adesanya
6.2

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.