BREAKINGTony Bellew vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based predictionBREAKINGTony Bellew vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based prediction

Tony Bellew vs Francis Ngannou

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Tony Bellew

34-3-1
VS
🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0
41%10% Draw49%
Bellew
Ngannou
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Francis Ngannou a 49% edge over Tony Bellew in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Tony Bellew wins 89% vs Francis Ngannou at 86%

Bellew
10.0
Ngannou
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 72%

Bellew
0.0
Ngannou
8.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 191cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Bellew
4.6
Ngannou
5.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

92% survival rate vs 86%

Bellew
10.0
Ngannou
9.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

38 bouts vs 21 bouts

Bellew
10.0
Ngannou
6.4
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

43 years old vs 40 years old

Bellew
3.0
Ngannou
3.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.