Tom Aspinall vs Ricardo Almeida

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇬🇧

Tom Aspinall

15-2-0

🇧🇷

Ricardo Almeida

13-4-0

59%6% Draw35%

Aspinall

Almeida

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Tom Aspinall a 59% edge over Ricardo Almeida in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Tom Aspinall wins 88% vs Ricardo Almeida at 76%

Aspinall

10.0

Almeida

9.2

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

80% stoppage rate vs 0%

Aspinall

9.6

Almeida

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 196cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Aspinall

7.0

Almeida

3.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 76%

Aspinall

9.7

Almeida

8.4

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

33 years old vs 49 years old

Aspinall

9.9

Almeida

3.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

17 bouts vs 17 bouts

Aspinall

10.0

Almeida

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.