Terence Crawford vs Keith Thurman — stats-based predictionTerence Crawford vs Keith Thurman — stats-based prediction

Terence Crawford vs Keith Thurman

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Terence Crawford

42-0-0
VS

Keith Thurman

34-2-0
45%10% Draw45%
Crawford
Thurman
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Keith Thurman a 45% edge over Terence Crawford in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Terence Crawford wins 100% vs Keith Thurman at 94%

Crawford
10.0
Thurman
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Crawford
0.0
Thurman
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 173cm / 171cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Crawford
5.4
Thurman
4.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 94%

Crawford
10.0
Thurman
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 37 years old

Crawford
4.4
Thurman
5.5
ExperienceWeight: ★★

42 bouts vs 36 bouts

Crawford
10.0
Thurman
8.9

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.