Terence Crawford vs David Benavidez — stats-based predictionTerence Crawford vs David Benavidez — stats-based prediction

Terence Crawford vs David Benavidez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Terence Crawford

42-0-0
VS

David Benavidez

31-0-0
37%8% Draw55%
Crawford
Benavidez
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives David Benavidez a 55% edge over Terence Crawford in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Terence Crawford wins 100% vs David Benavidez at 100%

Crawford
10.0
Benavidez
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 81%

Crawford
0.0
Benavidez
9.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 173cm / 185cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Crawford
2.6
Benavidez
7.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 100%

Crawford
10.0
Benavidez
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 29 years old

Crawford
4.4
Benavidez
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

42 bouts vs 31 bouts

Crawford
10.0
Benavidez
7.9

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.