BREAKINGStephen Thompson vs Leon Edwards — stats-based predictionBREAKINGStephen Thompson vs Leon Edwards — stats-based prediction

Stephen Thompson vs Leon Edwards

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Stephen Thompson

17-9-1
VS
🇬🇧

Leon Edwards

22-5-0
41%10% Draw49%
Thompson
Edwards
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Leon Edwards a 49% edge over Stephen Thompson in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Stephen Thompson wins 63% vs Leon Edwards at 81%

Thompson
7.6
Edwards
9.8
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

47% stoppage rate vs 32%

Thompson
5.6
Edwards
3.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Thompson
4.0
Edwards
6.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

67% survival rate vs 81%

Thompson
7.3
Edwards
9.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

43 years old vs 35 years old

Thompson
3.0
Edwards
8.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

27 bouts vs 27 bouts

Thompson
10.0
Edwards
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.