BREAKINGSonny Bill Williams vs Stephen Thompson — stats-based predictionBREAKINGSonny Bill Williams vs Stephen Thompson — stats-based prediction

Sonny Bill Williams vs Stephen Thompson

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇳🇿

Sonny Bill Williams

11-2-0
VS

Stephen Thompson

17-9-1
42%10% Draw48%
Williams
Thompson
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Stephen Thompson a 48% edge over Sonny Bill Williams in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Sonny Bill Williams wins 85% vs Stephen Thompson at 63%

Williams
10.0
Thompson
7.6
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 47%

Williams
0.0
Thompson
5.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

85% survival rate vs 67%

Williams
9.3
Thompson
7.3
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Williams
5.0
Thompson
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

13 bouts vs 27 bouts

Williams
5.9
Thompson
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

41 years old vs 43 years old

Williams
3.0
Thompson
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.